Energy Meteorology and Forecasting: new disciplines required for climate change mitigation
Dr Wilfred Walsh
National University of Singapore and Biosphere Capital Ltd
Time & Place
Fri, 16 Aug 2019 11:00:00 NZST in Room 701, West Building
All are welcome
A global consensus on what constitutes a sufficient combination of technological, political and economic solutions to the issue of anthropomorphic climate change is still lacking. What is abundantly clear, however, is that a necessary component of any such solution is a massive shift in energy generation away from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. Nearly all renewable resources are strongly dependent on the atmosphere, which is a paradigmatic example of a complex and highly variable physical system. To optimally exploit renewable energy resources, in a way that is compatible with power grids and energy markets, which demand stability and predictability, information is required on the availability and variability of these varying resources, on timescales from seconds to years. Quantification of this information defines the new discipline of Energy Meteorology. I present an example application of this discipline: the forecasting of city-scale solar power for grid management on various timescales, using statistical forecasting and numerical weather prediction.
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