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Professor Bruce Raymond Manley
School of Forestry
Phone: +64 3 364 2987 ext. 6122
Office: Forestry 111
Fields of Research
Forest estate modelling
Forest management planning
Forest valuation
Researcher Summary
Research interests include the development of methodology for the valuation of plantations, modelling of forest estates to incorporate wood and non-wood benefits and log and wood quality & linkage to products and markets.
Subject Area: Disciplines
Agriculture and Other Applied Biological Sciences:
Forestry Studies
Research Groups
Wood Technology Research Centre
Affiliations
New Zealand Institute of Forestry (NZIF)
(Professional Organisation): Member and Convenor of NZIF Forest Valuation Working Party
Publications
Moore, J.R., Manley, B.R., Park, D. and Scarrott, C.J. (2013) Quantification of wind damage to New Zealand's planted forests.
Forestry
(early access online)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/forestry/cps076
.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. (2012)
Deforestation Survey 2011. Final report.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry Technical Paper 2012/11. 16pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. (2012) Discount rates used for forest valuation - results of 2011 survey.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
56(4): 21-28.
(Journal Article)
Woollons, R.C. and Manley, B.R. (2012) Examining growth dynamics of Pinus radiata plantations at old ages in New Zealand.
Forestry
85(1): 79-86.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/forestry/cpr059
.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. (2012) Impact of the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme on forest valuation.
Forest Policy and Economics
14(1): 83-89.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2011.07.012
.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. and Maclaren, P. (2012) Potential impact of carbon trading on forest management in New Zealand.
Forest Policy and Economics
24: 35-40.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2010.01.001
.
(Journal Article)
Park, D., Manley, B., Morgenroth, J. and Visser, R. (2012) What proportion of the forest of small-scale owners is likely to be harvested: A Whanganui case study.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
57(3): 4-11.
http://www.nzjf.org/abstract.php?volume_issue=j57_3&first_page=4
.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. (2011)
Deforestation Survey Final Report 2010.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 14pp.
(Report for External Body)
Moore, J., Manley, B. and Park, D. (2011)
Quantification and management of the risk of wind damage to New Zealand's planted forests.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry Technical Paper No. 2011/41. 49pp.
(Report for External Body)
Rodenberg, J. and Manley, B. (2011) Small Forests in New Zealand: A Survey of Landowner Objectives and Management.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
56(2): 15-19.
http://www.nzjf.org/new_issues/NZJF56_2_2011/49C62687-493F-4697-A861-208E17BE7A7E.pdf
.
(Journal Article)
Niquidet, K. and Manley, B. (2011) Testing for Nonlinear Spatial Integration in Roundwood Markets.
Forest Science
57(4): 301-308.
(Journal Article)
Armstrong, D., Liley, B., Marren, M. and Manley, B. (convenor). (2011)
The ETS and Forest Valuation. Guidance material on how to incorporate the impact of the ETS on forest and forest land valuation.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 30pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. (2010)
2009 Deforestation Survey. Final Report.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 19pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. (2010)
Analysis of the risk that future carbon prices will prevent harvest.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 46pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. (2010) Discount rates used for forest valuation - Results of 2009 survey.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
54(4): 19-23.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. and Maclaren, P. (2010) Harvested Wood Products in the ETS - What would be the Impact?
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
55(3): 20-26.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. and Lane, P. (2010)
New Zealand Wood Availability Forecasts 2010-2040.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 39pp.
http://www.maf.govt.nz/mafnet/publications/wood-availability/new-zealand/new-zealand.pdf
.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. and Niquidet, K. (2010) What is the relevance of option pricing for forest valuation in New Zealand?
Forest Policy and Economics
12(4): 299-307.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2009.11.002
.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. (2009)
2008 Deforestation Survey: Final Report.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 18pp.
(Report for External Body)
Woollons, R., Manley, B. and Cochrane, H. (2009)
Assessing the influence of climate on the formation of intra-ring checks in Pinus radiata stands in the Central North Island. WQI Report APP 83.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd. 17pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. and Maclaren, P. (2009) Evaluation of the Australian ETS approach for reforestation.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
54(3): 26-30.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. and Watt, R. (2009)
Forestry insurance, risk pooling and risk mitigation options.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 53pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. and Maclaren, P. (2009) Modelling the impact of carbon trading legislation on New Zealand's plantation estate.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
54(1): 39-44.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. (2008)
2007 Deforestation Survey. Final Report.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
(Report for External Body)
Mason, E.G., Woollons, R.C. and Manley, B.R. (2008)
Carbon Accounting: Forest Growth Rates and Changing Climate.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 47pp.
(Report for External Body)
Woollons, R., Manley, B. and Park, J. (2008) Factors influencing the formation of resin pockets in pruned radiata pine butt logs from New Zealand.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science
38(2/3): 323-333.
(Journal Article)
Maclaren, P., Manley, B. and Final Year School of Forestry students. (2008)
Impact of the ETS on Forest Management.
Ministry of Agriculture & Forestry. 39pp.
(Report for External Body)
Maclaren, P. and Manley, B. + Final Year School of Forestry Students. (2008) Impact of the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme on forest management.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
53(3): 33-39.
(Journal Article)
Woollons, R., Manley, B. and Park, J. (2008)
Modelling resin pocket occurrence using climatic and silvicultural factors. WQI Report APP 77.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd. 24pp.
(Report for External Body)
Woollons, R. and Manley, B. (2008)
Prediction of average ST300 standing tree acoustic velocity through topographic and stand growth predictor variables. WQI Report INT 16.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd. 7pp.
(Report for External Body)
Woollons, R. and Manley, B. (2008)
Prediction of second log acoustic velocity from felled stem velocity and site variables. WQI Report INT 17.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd. 10pp.
(Report for External Body)
Woollons, R. and Manley, B. (2008)
Prediction of stand diameter breast height outer wood density through topographic and growth predictor variables. WQI Report INT 15.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd. 9pp.
(Report for External Body)
Niquidet, K. and Manley, B. (2008) Regional Log Market Integration in New Zealand.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science
38(2/3): 335-352.
(Journal Article)
Woollons, R., Manley, B. and Rawley, B. (2008)
Revision of some equations in the WQI acoustic velocity model. WQI Report INT 13.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. (2007) Discount rates used for forest valuation - Results of 2007 survey.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
52(3): 21-27.
(Journal Article)
Woollons, R., Rawley, B. and Manley, B. (2007)
Modelling the accoustic velocity of Pinus radiata in New Zealand plantations. WQI Report INT 8.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd. 40pp.
(Report for External Body)
Niquidet, K. and Manley, B. (2007) Price dynamics in the New Zealand log market.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
52(3): 4-9.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B., Beets, P., Goulding, C., Maclaren, P., Burrows, L., Stephens, P. and Miller, R. (2007)
Proposed PFSI Carbon Accounting System. Report to MAF by the PFSI Carbon Accounting Design Team.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. 63pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B. (2006)
2006 Deforestation Survey. Final Report.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
(Report for External Body)
Grabianowski, M., Manley, B. and Walker, J.C.F. (2006) Acoustic measurements on standing trees, logs and green lumber.
Wood Science and Technology
40(3): 205-216.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00226-005-0038-5
.
(Journal Article)
Robertson, K. and Manley, B. (2006) Estimation of the availability and cost of supplying biomass for bioenergy in Canterbury.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
51(2): 3-6.
(Journal Article)
Tsang, K., Manley, B. and Maplesden, F. (2006) New product acceptance in China's industrial wood products market.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
50(4): 24-30.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B. (2005)
2005 Deforestation Survey. Final Report.
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B.R. (2005) Discount Rate. In M.J. Colley (Ed.),
New Zealand Institute of Forestry Handbook
(3rd Edition ed.): 268-269. Auckland: New Zealand Institute of Forestry.
(Chapter in Book)
Manley, B.R. (2005) Discount rates used for forest valuation.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
50(3): 7-11.
(Journal Article)
Brown, J.A., Woollons, R. and Manley, B. (2005)
Estimating uncertainty in the Kyoto compliant carbon accounting system for New Zealand's planted forests.
MAF. University of Canterbury Research Report UCMS 2005/7. 20pp.
(Report for External Body)
Woollons, R., Brown, J. and Manley, B. (2005)
Estimation of errors associated with the calculation of carbon in Kyoto Forests.
MAF. University of Canterbury Research Report UCMS2005/8. 24pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B.R. (2005) Modelling at the Estate Level. In M.J. Colley (Ed.),
New Zealand Institute of Forestry Handbook
(3rd Edition ed.): 162-164. Auckland: New Zealand Institute of Forestry.
(Chapter in Book)
Manley, B.R. (2005) Valuation. In M.J. Colley (Ed.),
New Zealand Institute of Forestry Handbook
(3rd Edition ed.): 267-268. Auckland: New Zealand Institute of Forestry.
(Chapter in Book)
Heberling, M., Woollons, R., Manley, B. and Park, J. (2004)
Factors influencing the formation of resin pockets in pruned radiata pine. WQI Report APP 30.
Wood Quality Initiative Ltd.
(Report for External Body)
Grabianowski, M., Manley, B. and Walker, J.C.F. (2004) Impact of stocking and exposure on outerwood acoustic properties of Pinus radiata in Eyrewell Forest.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
49(2): 13-17.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B.R. (2003) Discount rates used for forest valuation - Results of 2003 survey.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
48(3): 29-31.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B.R. and Bare, B.B. (2003) Equivalence of the expectation and cost compounding methods of forest valuation - Faustmann revisited.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
48(1): 25-31.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B.R., Somerville, O., Turbitt, M. and Lane, P. (2003) Review of new forest planting estimates.
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
48(3): 34-37.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B.R. (2002) Relationship between discount rates to be applied to before tax and after tax cashflows..
New Zealand Journal of Forestry
47(1): 28-32.
(Journal Article)
Manley, B.R. (2001)
Comparative review of models for sustainable yield in indigenous forests.
Department of Conservation, Conservation Advisory Science. 28pp.
(Report for External Body)
Manley, B.R. and Bare, B.B. (2001) Computing maximum willingness to pay with Faustmann's formula: some special situations from New Zealand.
Forest Policy and Economics
2: 179-193.
(Journal Article)
Hock, B.K., Fairweather, J.R., Langer, E.R., Ledgard, N., Manley, B.R. and Swaffield, S. (2001) Economic and social impacts of land-use change in the unimproved pastoral lands of the New Zealand high country: A methodological case study.
Forest Research Bulletin
210
(Journal Article)
Te Morenga, L., Manley, B.R. and Hock, B.K. (2001) Regional models of the economic impacts of five scenarios of land use change in the Mackenzie/Waitaki Basin.
Model inputs and results. Forest Research Bulletin No 214
214
(Journal Article)
Weintraub, A., Epstein, R., Murphy, G. and Manley, B.R. (2000) The impact of environmental constraints on short-term harvesting.
Annals of Operations Research
95: 41-66.
(Journal Article)
Manley (Convenor), B.R., Barnes, A., Berg, P., Clark, P., Croskery, S., Fleming, J., Gorman, P. and Liley, B. (1999)
NZIF Forest Valuation Standards.
Christchurch, NZ: NZIF Forest Valuation Working Party. 195pp.
(Authored Book)
Manley, B.R. (1999)
The development of forest valuation standards in New Zealand.
Prague, Czech Republic: Proceedings of IUFRO Conference 'From Theory to Practice - Gaps and Solutions in Managerial Economics and Accounting in Forestry', '1999'. 108-115..
(Conference Contribution - Other)
Turner, J.A., Carson, S.D. and Manley, B.R. (1998)
The relationship of mean internode length to breeding values for branch cluster frequency.
NZ Forest Research Institute Ltd, Rotorua: "The Genetics of Radiata Pine" Meeting IUFRO Working Party, 1-4 December 1997. 147-154.
(Conference Contribution - Other)
Manley, B.R. (1997)
Forest Scenario Analyses in New Zealand..
Wageningen, Netherlands: Forest Scenario Modelling for Ecosystem Management at Landscape Level, 1997. 19 73-87.
(Conference Contribution - Other)